I found this at the weekend, Irish Polling Indicator, a website that as it says:
combines all Irish opinion polls for the Dáil Éireann into one estimate of public support for the parties. The project is maintained by Tom Louwerse and Stefan Müller. Our estimates were reported in the Irish Times, RTÉ News, and the Business Post.
As always, these are indicative, not the final word. But I like the broad estimates they use which are not unuseful. For example they see uncertainty margins for Sinn Féin broadly between 30.5% and 34% which they show and offer 32% as an estimate.
They also offer some diagrams indicating 'house effects' of polls - 'A positive house effect means that a pollster structurally estimates a certain party higher than the average pollster.'
They have a blog and make a really interesting point, that this year may break the record for the most polls published in a single year.
No comments:
Post a Comment